
Barack Obama and the Future of Asia
Written on Wednesday, November 5th, 2008 at 7:25 pm | by Patricio MangubatNow that the elections are over and we now have a “change agent” as President of the United States, the question that everybody is asking right now, especially in Asia is–how would President Barack Obama tackle issues affecting the Asia-Pacific region?
Let’s discuss the economy, a turf which Obama claims to have the necessary prescription. What economic paradigm will Obama use to help ailing Asian economies? Obama hinted in his speeches that he leans more on strengthening the U.S. economy. Surely, his focus would be more on internal job-creation, managing inflation, lifting taxes and reviving consumer confidence on the economy (hence, those stirring speeches).
Will Obama implement a closed economic model (which others term “nationalist”), with emphasis on internal investments rather than foreign investments? He leans towards that model. Will we see more U.S. products being dumped in the region’s markets? If this happens, will the new president enter into more regional trade agreements to further engage Asian countries in trade? How about proposals for a regional multilateral economic arrangement? Will an Obama presidency engage or resist?
How will the US address the financial recession in Singapore, a main U.S. ally in Asia? How will Obama engage China, who now admits to be in a recessionary mode as well? Will an Obama administration be a “friendlier” trade partner with China? Or, will Obama change tack and try to equalize the unequal trade relationship between the two countries by force of negotiations?
On regional security. How will Obama tackle North Korea? Will Obama engage the North Korean government and ask them to permanently dismantle their nuclear program? What would be Obama’s answer to the growing Islamist fundamentalism in Asia, especially in SouthEast Asia (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines)?
Obama indicated that he’ll use armed force to defeat America’s enemies. That’s just a continuation of the Bush administration’s anti-terror policy. If that will be the case, what would be Obama’s response to an escalated terrorist situation? Will Obama hunt down Jemaah Islamiya’s members throughout Asia? What would be his stand on the Mindanao situation? Will he continue the U.S. State Department’s policy of active engagement in the MIMAROPA?
President-elect Barack Obama faces tremendous challenges, comparable to the one faced by former US President Theodore Roosevelt. In Obama’s mind, there are just two wars that he needs to address–an economic war and an anti-terror menace. These wars not only threaten the survival of the world’s self-proclaimed democratic power–it also threatens the entire human civilization. Now, Americans have spoken. They want change. However, change can either be for the better or for the worst. Will the world enter into a hippie’s golden age of change or will we slide to that dark, unchartered and uncertain future?
We will know in the next few weeks and months how Obama will try to change the world. Political rhetorics are now, over. As Obama said, it’s time for Americans to climb themselves up to the ladder of change. And the world will follow.
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13 Responses to “Barack Obama and the Future of Asia”
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American policy towards the Philippines will be pretty much the same. The bureaucrats (mandarins)in the United States NSC, State, USAID, DoD, Millennium Challenge Account (MCA), etc. will make sure of that.
Policy recommendations are decided at the Assistant Secretaries’ Level. Interventions will be based on the Pentagon’s New Map.
Unless one is an acute and chronic troublemaker or constant pain in the American ass, things remain the same.
The leftist agenda will focus more on redirecting the rightist agenda very close to the center. The democratic party will have a big challenge on how to implement it’s nationalistic agenda at this time of crisis with unemployment rising. This is Obama’s problem not ours.
But we all know, Obama’s foreign policies and securities are less favored by majority until Collin Powell endorsed Obama.
The Relationship of US and China is a partnership started on trade, commercial and economic.
The relationship between US and Japan is more broad and comprehensive. It is based on security, economic, cultural and social ties.
In regards to Philippines, we will probably have to reevaluate our role with APEC and WHO
My question would be, how does Obama implement its CHANGE, a leftist agenda, without causing too much imbalance to those established organizations?
What policies, sanctions and qoutas that our government must maintain and prepare strategies beneficial to our country?
In my opinion, we will go back to basic. Buy our own and achieve national sufficiency. We must elect a president that will clearly define our economic goals within our country FIRST.
Remittances will continue
To be more specific, will the Philippine Economy prosper more to an Obama White House. To answer that question, at least from my point of view is - NO. Currently the economic stature of the US is in shambles. Added to the fact that Democrats applies more views for a protectionist economy. As a veteran in the Outsourcing Industry, the second highest dollar revenue earner nowadays in the Philippines, we are in a challence. Instead of tax cuts for companies that are expanding globally under a republican controlled white house, it will now be curtailed. New taxes will be introduced. Some say that we have better relationship when a Democrat is in power. But when you really think about it, its actually the Republicans. The help/aid that we get from Republicans are higher compared to the Demos. i just hope Obama’s inexperience and fanaticism will not affect RP.
in the philippines where we elect new leaders, we simply say that the the new leaders are the same dogs with different colar.
same things can be said of the new leaders in the U.S. US foreign policy is always dictated by her best interest and not the interest of the foreign nations.
bureaucracy is very much in place. leaders are most of the times captives of the corporatetocracy, financial giants, and lobby-interest groups.
you need a miracle to bypass these corporate giants to bring about a humanist agenda where people of different nations are really treated fair and square.
at this time where her economy herself is in ruin, expect america to be the beacon of “imperialist” design and not a beacon of humanitarian agenda.
jcc, i agree, but i have a strong faith in the american people’s ability to survive any crisis that come its way.
btw, how come you refer to “uncle sam” as a she
(”her”). you don’t think HE is bakla, do you? (lol).
JCC,
you seem to betray a deeper faith in the possibilities of America than even many Americans would admit. you seem to think that American foreign policy could, or should, look after the interest of foreign nations as much as her own. One wonders where you might have learnt your own humanitarian agenda?
Philman,
Why does it sound like you expect America to solve the problems of the Philippines by raising our concerns above the Assistant Sec’s level?
bencard,
nations have feminist attributes. a country is often referred to as a she.
djb,
some people in this blog or somewhere else entertain the idea that an obama-administration means a pro-asian US posture or for that matter a pro-world posture.
There is something that the Philippines should envy about the election process in the U.S. For my entire life I have just voted twice. The first time was in 1975 when Ninoy Aquino run against Imelda Marcos for the Batasang Pambansa. I voted for Ninoy but he was cheated out of his victory. I have never voted in any election then.
The second time was in the U.S. Presidential election this Tuesday, November 4, 2008. The line in the polling precinct where I voted was about 20 meters long, but the process was orderly. You can vote by party affiliation by blackening the oblong in the ballot box or you can mix and match your choice.
If you opt for block voting, you have to darken only one oblong and all the candidates of the party are voted for from President, Vice President, Senators and Congressmen.
Next you are required to vote for non-patisan candidates like State Supreme Court Justices, District Court Judges and even School Board Officials.
In Michigan, the ballot also carries a referendum on legalizing marijuana production for medical use and another refrendum on “embryonic cell research”.
After filling up your ballot you insert it into a machine where it is being scanned and tabulated while pushing your ballot inside the machine.
Few hours after closing you know who wins the election and you find the losing candidate conceding his defeat.
The U.S. is composed of 50 States but she can manage the elections so smooth. Though there was that famous “hanging chad” in California in 2004, this year’s election was almost perfect. The Philipines land mass is less than that of California and may have lesser electorates than California but our canvass would last for three weeks to two months.
The state SC Justices have tenure and have to voted upon by the electorate. This way, these Justices cannot abuse their authority because they can be voted out of office in 4 years.
The Philippines can copy the U.S. experience if we really want to strengthen our institutions and free them from the avarice of dishonest politicians.
i mean the “hanging Chad” was in Florida, not California.
we need a national ID to automate our system. in florida, i only need my driver’s license to receive a ballot.
just one thing, patricio. did you mean to refer to franklin delano roosevelt instead of theodore roosevelt in your post? fdr took over a turbulent presidency under herbert hoover amidst the “great depression”. fdr concentrated on domestic problems, putting international relations and national security in the back burner. the result: the sneak attack on pearl harbor and eventual entry into the fray vs. hitler. america had to scramble to put itelf in war footing, putting able men and women into the war industry producing weaponry and killing machines day and night. obama faces the same challenges at home and abroad. he must be strong enough to be equal to the tasks.
To some extent, I agree with Bencard.
The foreign policy approaches of U.S. Presidents a.k.a “doctrines” e.g. Hoover, Roosevelt, Truman, Nixon, Clinton, Bush, etc. were practical strategies/solutions in response to pervading world conditions.
What would an ‘Obama Doctrine” look like? Withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan in two years(?), deeper engagement with Cuba and Iran, a thawing of the ‘cold peace’ with Russia, and others.
Indeed, outside of Joseph Biden, President-elect Obama will need a first-rate, top-notch Secretary of State to advise him.
The Brahmin Mr. John Kerry seems promising?
Obama has come to the White House
The just concluded US presidential election – in state of the art digital automation – is cause for envy in so far as RP is concerned. But, It is not as if steps in this direction have not been initiated except that the Supreme Court according to its worldview – believes that it cannot be applied in our contemporary political culture. Thus, it will always be the case that counting the votes would proceed manually such that the longer it takes to finish the count – in days and weeks – the more likely it has opened windows of opportunity for cheating. America on the other hand counts push-button and RP counts scandalously primitive.
Obama and McCain were luminous figures seen in the world stage as arch contenders to who should run corporate America after President George W. Bush. And Obama got 64,414,843 of so-called popular votes and 364 of so-called electoral votes against McCain getting 56,735,145 and 162, respectively. Obama’s victory in this presidential race flips a new page in US political history as the first ever African-American president with McCain conceding even before the last vote is counted.
In the realm of the senses, there is nothing McCain can do to outsmart Obama whose oratory is par excellence. Given images of two competing candidates, McCain receives the short end of the bargain, McLuhan-wise – where ‘the medium is the message’. Obama is seen and heard to have presented his promissory note under the terms and conditions that come agreeable to any contracting party. Thus, there is little difficulty for every voting American to sign this social contract offered by Obama as the simple epitome of the American dream.
Obama is highly educated, McCain isn’t. Obama is an eloquent orator, McCain just isn’t. Obama carries charisma, McCain is yet to acquire the virus. Obama attracts patronage from both the blacks and the whites in, more or less, equal degree while McCain only got half of the racial deal. With another under-educated as chosen running mate, McCain failed to check his political equation. Obama has been better paired with his running mate. With just these two presidential wannabes viewed in the viewing screen, there is no way McCain can attract adherents any more than Obama can – with such ease and facility – typical of the educated class in the US social pyramid. Obama, after all, graduated his law magna cum laude at Harvard Law School while McCain almost at the tail-end of the graduating class in the US Naval Academy.
Perhaps, speech power has been the name of the game in this US election. Every word spoken by Obama seems calculated to summon favor from any average listener or viewer. His speech proceeded from a methodology already known to most Americans with delivery alone qualifying as superb and a cut above the rest. The text of his message comes as though God has spoken before a revering flock – a speech that has warmed the hearts of most Americans, whites or non-whites. Obama’s overall audience impact has really touched every a listener who has been so frustrated with the way Bush has run US politics that one school of thought believes Obama has been a principal beneficiary of this hatred for Bush war policy – viewed as ‘crimes against humanity’.
No wonder then that the punchline – “Change has come to America” – really placed the viewing universe in some kind of trance. Bush bedeviled the American people, and Obama kind of probably ‘angelized’ the new and contemporary American population. Between the devil and the angel, Americans across social ladders, tend to like Obama better than any Bush protégé, or McCain. Given then a prevailing national mood, Obama can skillfully order how his chips will fall in place. And he did just right for his dream to become the next and 44th president of the world’s superpower that is America.
What will US politics be like under an Obama administration? Policy issues have already been drawn, even maybe neatly by the new world leader. Some of these send “shark attacks effect” making the world uncertain for countries that used to benefit economically from US policy directions under Bush. If Obama pursues the creative approach of going insular by focusing largely on its domestic economy, then world trade as we used to know it might have to be configured differently under an Obama regime. If all jobs go to citizens of America, if all goods go to the American people, if all services are just for the Americans – this consuming all-American protectionist policy might mean making US a closed society than what it used to be and imperiled its own national life.
Whatever policy directions Obama will take ought to be beyond fault. With two wars – that in Irag and Afghanistan – first in the political agenda, Obama is left with not much choice but perhaps to withdraw troops in this beleaguered nations if only to cut on the defense budget. With the economic meltdown US is into, Obama might have to make drastic fiscal reforms without having to reinvent the wheel like say – strengthening a protectionist policy in the best tradition of the Democrats where he belongs. A host of pressing social, economic, political, and security issues have to be addressed and Obama thinks too honestly that indeed US meets the challenge in his favorite line – “Yes we can”.
It still bears watching how Obama will reformat a prevailing if irreversible economic curse that appears to be redeemable only with as much as a $700 billion bail out. Bush is heard to have wished Obama hits the ground running. Truly, US has been seen to be at the verge of a cliff to such extent that it seems like there is only 24-hour left to save present-day America.
After the whole electoral exercise, Obama must get down to business. An economic turnaround or a miracle cannot just come about – from a culture of overspending – that has characterized the Bush’ government. Nor can US’ global position as world policeman be compromised as though pulling out US troops in war-torn Iraq and Afghanistan will do the trick. It bears watching whether Obama can bring US economy back on its track especially by giving middle class tax cuts to some 95% of American workers if true anything can be done to uplift some 37 million poor Americans that corporate American has neglected for many years. With Obama breaking the century-old racial barrier, it is hoped that political assassinations by some kind of feudal supremacist vogue would be a thing of the past.
PRIMER C. PAGUNURAN
Philippines
(Email to: nielsky_2003@yahoo.com)